Anora: The Frontrunner with a Rocky Start
"Anora" emerged as a strong contender in the Best Picture race despite an initially challenging journey. The film, which received a near-record 13 nominations, was a front-runner that faced significant backlash when disparaging tweets from its star, Karla Sofía Gascón, surfaced. This controversy led to a collapse in its initial momentum. However, "Anora" rebounded by securing top prizes from the producers, directors, and writers guilds, which are crucial indicators for the Best Picture win. Its success across these guilds, particularly with the preferential ballot system similar to the Academy’s, positions it as a strong contender.
The Brutalist: A Cinematic Masterpiece with a Low Budget
"The Brutalist" stands out for its exceptional cinematography and impactful performance by Adrien Brody, who is favored to win Best Actor. Despite its low budget, the film’s stunning visuals and Brody’s compelling portrayal have garnered significant attention. It is a favorite in categories like Best Cinematography and Best Original Score, with Lol Crawley’s work being particularly praised. Brody’s win would mark his second Oscar, solidifying his reputation.
A Complete Unknown: A Sound and performance contender
"A Complete Unknown" makes its mark in the Best Sound category, where it is projected to win for its innovative use of Bob Dylan’s songs. Timothée Chalamet’s performance earned him a late SAG win, but his youthful age and the Academy’s historical bias against young male actors pose challenges. Despite this, the film’s technical achievements and Chalamet’s talent keep it in contention.
Conclave: A Strong Contender with Missed Opportunities
"Conclave" surged late in the race with wins at the SAG Awards and BAFTAs, but missed key nominations for directing and cinematography. These omissions raise questions about its broad appeal within the Academy. Despite these gaps, its strong performance in major categories keeps it competitive, although it still trails behind "Anora" in the Best Picture race.
Dune: Part Two: Technical Brilliance Expected
"Dune: Part Two" is a favorite in the technical categories, particularly Best Visual Effects. The sequel’s seamless special effects, akin to its predecessor, are expected to secure it a win. While it is a blockbuster, its impact is more pronounced in technical areas rather than major categories like Best Picture.
Emilia Pérez: A Fallen Star with a Glimmer of Hope
Once a leading contender with 13 nominations, "Emilia Pérez" faced a downturn due to controversy. However, Zoë Saldaña’s supporting role remains a strong contender, offering a glimpse of redemption for the film. The song "El Mal" is also favored to win Best Original Song, showcasing the film’s enduring appeal despite its setbacks.
I’m Still Here: An International Late Bloomer
"I’m Still Here" has surged late in the International Feature category, benefiting from its emotional impact and late viewership among Academy members. Fernanda Torres’s performance is a strong factor, making it a formidable contender.
Nickel Boys: Strength in Screenplay
"Nickel Boys" is a strong contender in the Best Adapted Screenplay category, though its lack of a Best Picture nomination may limit its broader impact. Its compelling narrative keeps it relevant.
The Substance: A Makeup and Hairstyling Standout
"The Substance" is favored in the Best Makeup and Hairstyling category, boosted by Demi Moore’s performance. Its gross-out gore and Moore’s momentum position it well, despite tough competition.
Wicked: Visual Spectacle and Musical Appeal
"Wicked" appeals with its Costume Design and Original Song. Its visual grandeur and "El Mal" song are highlights, though it faces competition in technical categories from other blockbusters.
Each film’s journey reflects the unpredictable nature of this Oscar season, with "Anora" leading the pack while others showcase standout performances and technical achievements.
